Flemington 7-07-2018

 

Meeting: Flemington
Rail: True entire circuit
Track at 8am: Good 4
Predicted track condition as of 3pm: Good 4
Weather forecast: Showers and windy, 13 degrees

Speed maps (click to view): PDF – Flemington 07072018 maps.

 

Race 1
11.50AM Rivette Series Final 1600m
Predicted speed: Slow

 

4. MINTHA
She’s in good form and ran very well here two starts back behind Remember The Name who won again since. She was good out to 1600m last start and can go on here. Craig Williams goes on and she gets a bit of weight relief though this is no harder.

7. PAGEANTRY
She’s third up in this off two good runs where her best work was late. Out to 1600m looks like it will suit at this stage.

9. THINK DIAMONDS
She’s been running well though only won her maiden two starts back. She ran well in town last start and meets the winner better at the weights.

SAVER
2. ELLE GAGNE (NZ)
She stepped up sharply in trip last start and ran well only being run down late. She was still only 1L off the winner. There doesn’t look to be a lot of speed on paper and she looks the likely leader.

 

Race 2
12.25PM VRC-CRV Cup Tour Trophy 2000m
Predicted speed: Even

5. SIXTIES GROOVE (IRE)
He’s likely to be short odds here after a solid 2nd over 1800m last start. He’s getting closer with each step out and the 2000m here looks perfect. Craig Williams goes on and he stays down in the weights. He maps well, he shouldn’t be too far away in the small field.

7. BRIGADIER (NZ)
He’s deep into this prep but has found form again and appears to be holding it. He was a solid winner last start over a similar trip when he led the whole way.

4. RIYADH (NZ)
He was a solid winner two starts back over 1600m and does generally run well over 2000. He has a fantastic record on Soft ground. Forgive him last start when he didn’t appear to handle Moonee Valley.

SAVER
3. GRAND DREAMER
He had a trial before last start’s third in the Swan Hill Cup and ran solidly. His best form is on wet tracks and Damian Lane goes on. He has the fitness and the way he made ground last start, the 2000m looks good now.

 

 

Race 3
1.00PM Leilani Series Final 1400m
Predicted speed: Even

2. MILES OF KRISHAN
She was a solid winner here last start and can go on in this. She gets a bit of weight relief but this field is no harder. Fred Kersley stays on. She shouldn’t be far away in the small field.

5. SHARING
She resumes here and has a very good first up record. She’s in light and Ben Allen has form on her. She likes Flemington.

1. MISS GUNPOWDER
She ran well against the boys in her last two outings and comes back to mares company here but does go up sharply in the weights. Craig Williams goes on and 1400m is her best trip.

SAVER
4. HUSSY’S GLOW
She’s in good form and ran well here last start. She meets Miles of Krishan at the same weights but has more race fitness this prep. She has a solid 1400m record.

 

Race 4
1.35PM Silver Bowl Series Final 1600m
Predicted speed: Even

3. REMEMBER THE NAME
She’s in hot form and has won her last two outings here including over this trip. Damien Oliver stays on and she should get a good midfield sit again. With a windy day forecast, having cover could be beneficial.

4. MOUNT KILCOY
He only has three starts to his name but was impressive when stepping out to 1600m here last start. He got back to near last and powered to the line but did get checked and lost a bit of ground. Dean Yendall stays on.

5. WOULDA THOUGHT SO
His only average run this prep was at Moonee Valley two starts back. He has been working to the line well. He meets Remember The Name 1kg better here than last start when he drew the widest. He has once again drawn the widest here but does get back so that’s no issue.

SAVER
1. GAULOIS
He was wide the whole trip here last start and still ran a solid third behind Remember The Name. He has top weight again here with Damien Lane going on. He has drawn much better in this.

 

Race 5
2.10PM Taj Rossi Series Final 1600m
Predicted speed: Even

6. GOLDIFOX
She’s yet to win her maiden but off her close second here last start she’s a strong chance here. She took a bit to wind up in that race and the extra trip looks perfect. She meetings the winner 2.5kg better at the weights and can turn the tables on him here. She ran a solid second behind Anjana two starts back who looks a star in the making.

2. SCOTTISH ROGUE
He’s very consistent and hasn’t been far away in his last few in town. He’ll be up on the speed and Craig Williams goes on. Tony McEvoy is very good with 2yo’s.

11. NERO CHIN CHIN
Taking out his average synthetic run last start he has been consistent. He ran a solid second two starts back after settling back in the field. He gets a bit of weight relief here.

SAVER
1. GOOD ‘N’ FAST
He’s in good form having placed here on debut then won convincingly last start when quite popular. He goes up in the weights but can go on here.
 

 

Race 6
2.50PM Banjo Paterson Series Final 2600m
Predicted speed: Even

4. LYCURGUS
He’s in hot form and there’s no reason why he can’t go on here. He likes Flemington and Damien Oliver stays on. He should get a nice trail up near the speed.

2. GREY LION (IRE)
He stepped out sharply to 2520m here last start and ran a solid second. He does run well here and finished second at his only other 2600m here which was in the Group 3 Queen Elizabeth.

3. SWACADELIC (GER)
He’s a very consistent stayer but often just finds one better. He was really soli here two starts back over 3200m running on strongly finishing behind Sin to Win then was plain back in trip last start but I am happy to forgive that big step back in trip.

SAVER
8. LA COURBETTE (FR)
He ran well here last start over a similar trip and stays down in the weights with Michael Walker going on. Any rain will likely help her.
Race 7
3.30PM A.R. Creswick Series Final 1200m
Predicted Speed: Fast

1. NATURE STRIP
He was very impressive stepping out for the Weir stable for the first time last start with 60.5kg. He has 58.5kg here. He almost broke the track record! Damian Lane stays on, he’s unbeaten here and will take some catching.

8. ORDER OF COMMAND
He’s been running on well and off last start’s effort out to 1200m helps. That was his first step out to city class and this is his home track.

5. I AM SOMEONE
He goes up sharply in weight here but has been quite consistent. He ran well behind Nature Strip here but does meet him worse in the weights under SWP conditions. Place chance.

SAVER
2. BEL SONIC
His first two runs back this prep were very good then he was ridden too close last start and dropped off. Chris Parnham goes on here. He is untried down the straight but there should be enough speed in this to suit.

 

Race 8
4.10PM VRC-CRV Winter Championship Series Final 1600m
Predicted speed: Fast

8. COOL CHAP
I’m surprised he’s the odds he is after last start’s effort. He was stepping back in trip and ran a really solid second behind Ozi Choice, it was an eye catching run. The last time he ran over 1600m here he finished 0.5L off Humidor in the Group 2 Blamey! He should get the perfect sit with enough speed in front to help.

17. SILENTZ
He was a very impressive winner three starts back then can be forgiven on the Heavy 10 at Swan Hill. He was impressive again here last start over the 1600m and Dean Yendall stays on here, staying down in the weights.

7. MORTON’S FORK
He ran fairly first up and improved here second up. He gets out to 1600m which he has won over and Jamie Mott goes on (he’s in good form!). His only other 1600m start here was a 0.2L second behind Comin’ Through.

SAVER
10. MAGIC CONSOL
He was very impressive last start! He said midfield and absolutely powered to the line late finishing 7L clear! Craig Williams understandably stays on here but he has drawn very wide in this. He is in good form and can’t be left out.

 

Race 9
4.40PM Seppelt Wines Victorian Sprint Series Final 1200m
Predicted speed: Even

8. DIVINE QUALITY
I’ve had her on top her last few starts and I’m sticking with her here. She came against the boys last start and slightly back in trip but ran a really solid second behind Malibu Style. Jye McNeil goes on here and back out to 1200m looks perfect.

1. HELLOVA STREET
He is a very solid fresh runner and very consistent overall! The stable has said he’s ready to run a good race first up and Damien Oliver goes on. He was only 1.25L off Humidor at the end of last prep here, he likes Flemington.

5. MAN FROM UNCLE
He ran fairly here first up after being quite popular in the market. He has won second up and should be up near the speed. He is a Group 2 winner in Sydney but was only fair in Group company down the straight here during the Spring. This is easier and he can be amongst the finish.

SAVER
7. JUST HIFALUTIN
She has a good record here including winning down the straight at the end of last prep. 1200m is her best trip, she has won 4 out of 5 starts over the trip and finished a solid second in the other (only 0.2L off the winner at MV).