Flemington 23-06-2018

 

Meeting: Flemington
Rail: +9m entire circuit
Track at 8am: Soft 5
Predicted track condition as of 3pm: Soft 5
Weather forecast: Showers, 13 degrees

Speed maps (click to view): PDF – Flemington 23062018 maps

 

Race 1
11.41AM Gippsland Region Handicap 1400m
Predicted speed: Not clear

 

2. GOOD ‘N’ FAST
He was good here on debut making ground late to finish only 0.1L off the winner. He comes out to 1400m and will be better from that first up run.

6. GOLDIFOX
She resumed with a super second behind the smart Anjana and the extra trip looks like it will suit. She comes against the males but if she can produce another run like her first up effort, she can be in the finish.

4. STAR FALL
He won his maiden well last start leading and kicking away to win by 3.75L. He has drawn for a good run.

SAVER
1. SCOTTISH ROGUE
He has the most race experience over these other starters and wasn’t far away here last start when stepping back in trip. Back out further here should suit and Tony McEvoy’s stable is in good form.

 

Race 2
12.16PM The Murray Region Handicap 1400m
Predicted speed: Even

3. MILES OF KRISHAN
She resumed with a solid second and does run just as well second up. She goes up in grade but comes back to mares company in this and Fred Kersley stays on. She should get a nice trail just behind the speed and should be in the finish again.

4. HUSSY’S GLOW
She rarely runs poorly and has a solid 1400m record. She’s fit and the stable is going well.

6. FUDGED
She’s won a quarter of her starts to date and is under the limit with Stephanie Thornton’s claim. She ran a solid third behind Oak Door & Widgee Turf over this trip here last January. She is stepping back in trip so she’s more of an each way chance.

SAVER
1. CREATIVITY
She has drawn for a good run here and can be forgiven last start when she didn’t have any room. She won at her only other 1400m start.

 

 

Race 3
12.51PM Great Ocean Road Handicap 1100m
Predicted speed: Even

1. NATURE STRIP
He makes his debut for the Weir stable here and did win down the straight over this trip back in January. He does have 60.5kg but is the clear best horse in the race.

7. ORDER OF COMMAND
He’s won his two races back this prep, his most recent being a solid 2.25L win after settling at the tail of the field. He gets weight relief coming up in class and Damien Oliver goes on.

11. RIEL REWARD
He’s quite consistent and did run soundly down the straight back in March considering it was Listed company. Chris Parnham was on for that ride and goes back on here. He has drawn out which is a plus.

SAVER
3. DUCIMUS
The Snitzel colt settled near the tail of the field when resuming here a fortnight ago powering to the line to finish a close second. Out to 1100m suits, both of his wins to date have been over this trip.

 

Race 4
1.26PM 2018 Country Achiever Quinton Scott Handicap 1400m
Predicted speed: Slow

2. BARTHELONA
He had the perfect sit up on the speed over this trip here a fortnight ago and has drawn for a similar run. Without a clear leader on paper he should be up there. He likes Flemington and will handle a Good or Soft surface equally.

9. PAINTE
He ran okay here last start when stepping out to this trip and should improve from that. Brad Rawiller goes on.

14. JESTA DREAMA
He runs a strong 1400m and his last three starts, all wins, have been over this trip. He deserves a try in town and has won on soft.

SAVER
11. KNOWABLE
He ran very well down the straight two starts back at big odds then was okay in hot speed last start. They weren’t making a lot of ground in that race and the winner looks smart. Back to restricted grade helps though a dry track would suit him best.

 

Race 5
2.06PM High Country Handicap 2520m
Predicted speed: Even

5. LYCURGUS
Since he’s stepped out over 2000m+ he’s been running super consistently. He just got too far away from the run away leader last start, he did chase hard but just couldn’t catch Choysa who he meets again here, better at the weights. Damien Oliver goes back on, he was on two starts ago for a sound win and there’s no reason why he can’t be in the finish.

2. GREY LION (IRE)
He made ground last start over the 2040m and out to 2520m should suit. He ran a good 2nd over a similar trip here in the Group 3 Queen Elizabeth through the Spring.

4. FALAGO
He’s run well in his last two including a decent third here last start. He likes Flemington and Craig Williams goes on. He has drawn for a good run just off the leaders.

SAVER
1. HIGH CHURCH (IRE)
He improved greatly last start over 2040m and I suspect we’ll see a bigger improvement out further here. That was only his third run back over almost a year away. Damian Lane has a good record on him and stays on here.
 

 

Race 6
2.46PM Macedon and Goldfields Handicap 1600m
Predicted speed: Even

1. GAULOIS
He was a strong winner when stepping out to this trip earlier in the month and Brad Rawiller stays on for this. He goes up in the weights but he’s very consistent and has the fitness.

5. REMEMBER THE NAME
She comes against the males but her two runs back this prep have both been good. Her only other start over this trip was in Group 2 company back in October where she finished only 3L off Bring Me Roses. That was only her next start after winning her maiden.

2. MR MONEYBAGS
He’s in good form and going off his wide win last start, the 1600m should be no issue. He was only 1.9L off Fifty Starts three starts back who was a dominant winner at his next start.

SAVER
9. WOULDA THOUGHT SO
Forgive his run last start when he was in the worst part of the track. He ran a very strong 2nd behind Iconoclasm over this trip here two starts back at big odds. Back onto a big track is a tick.
 

Race 7
3.26PM Brian Beattie Handicap 1400m
Predicted Speed: Even

1. OZI CHOICE
He was impressive setting a strong speed then running away from the field to win by 2.25L over this trip here a fortnight ago. He almost broke the track record. Dean Yendall stays on and he has drawn for a similar run.

13. GALAXY RAIDER
He’s in hot form finishing in the top two at his last four starts. His other run this prep, first up, was very impressive also. He will get back and will be powering to the line again but the rail being out makes it a bit hard. He was definitely eye catching last start when stepping back in trip, they weren’t making ground that day and he was one of the rare few who did.

8. MISS GUNPOWDER
She ran well against the boys here last start and stays down in the weights with Lachlan King staying on. She runs a strong 1400m.

SAVER
3. MORTON’S FORK
His trial before his first up effort was a bit average but he did run well first up and I suspect he’ll improve greatly from that run. Craig Williams goes back on, he was on back in January resulting in a big win.

 

Race 8
4.06PM David Bourke Provincial Plate 1600m
Predicted speed: Even

9. SILENTZ
This is a step up but his win two starts back was ultra impressive. He was sitting a clear last and absolutely powered to the line late to win by just under a length. Forgive his miss on the Heavy 10 last start. He stays down in the weights, he’s by Snitzel and the big track should suit him.

6. GUIZOT (IRE)
He ran well here two starts back finishing only 1.5L off the winner. He has drawn out but does usually get back. Damien Oliver goes on.

12. PENTHOUSE POET
He resumed this prep with a strong win then stepped up to this trip in deeper grade and made a lot of ground late finishing a solid third. He stays down in the weights with the step up in grade. In the tough very even field, he’s one to include in exotics.

SAVER
2. ANOTHER COLDIE
His two runs back this prep were probably a bit too short for him these days. He was a strong winner over 1600m here during the Spring. He’s desperate for the 1600m and should get enough speed to suit.

 

Race 9
4.41PM Grampians Region Handicap 1100m
Predicted speed: Fast

12. DIVINE QUALITY
I’ve marked her as my best each way of the day. She comes against the boys but she is in fantastic form. She runs well at Flemington, she ran a solid 2nd over 1200m two starts back in Listed company. Beau Mertens stays on. She has drawn in but I’m hoping they go to the middle of the track by this stage of the day. On paper, there’s enough speed to suit her.

3. HUSSON EAGLE
He has a solid first up record and should get the speed to suit him here. He’s under the limit after Nathan Punch’s claim. He ran a strong 2nd first up down the straight last prep. He was only 3L off Sprightly Lass back in April who has beaten Santa Ana Lane.

15. YOU’VE BEEN HAD
His only top three miss was a fourth where he had a slow recovery, he was still only 1.7L off the winner. He is very consistent and ran a solid 2nd over 1000m last start when he drew the widest and got a long way back which is generally a big ask at Moonee Valley. Damien Oliver goes on.

SAVER
5. ROCKET TOMMY
He’s a Flemington straight specialist, even more so when it’s the last race of the day, as he won two in a row last year. He’ll be up near the speed, he has won over 1100m and will handle a bit of rain.